Page 113 - BRIDS IAR 2023_hires

Tren Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dunia Tahun 2021-2023 (%)
World Economic Growth Trend 2021 - 2023 (%)

6,7
6,2
5,4

4,1 4,1
3,5
2,6 3,1
1,6

2021 2022 2023

World Emerging Market & Developing Economics Advances Economics

*estimasi *estimation
Sumber: World Economic Outlook (WEO), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Januari 2024
Source: World Economic Outlook (WEO), International Monetary Fund (IMF), January 2024

Penurunan inflasi global juga berjalan lambat di tengah The global inflation declines also progressed slowly
pengetatan kebijakan moneter bank sentral di banyak amidst central bank monetary policy tightening in many
negara. Inflasi global diprakirakan turun menjadi 6,8% countries. Global inflation was forecasted to decline to
pada Desember 2023, dengan inflasi negara maju tercatat 6.8% by December 2023, with developed country inflation
3,3%, sementara inflasi negara EMDEs tercatat 9,3%. at 3.3%, while inflation in EMDEs stood at 9.3%. The
Penurunan inflasi sejalan dengan penurunan harga energi decline in inflation was consistent with the decrease in
dan pangan dan dampak dari pengetatan kebijakan energy and food prices, alongside the impact of central
moneter bank sentral di banyak negara. Meski demikian, bank monetary policy tightening in numerous countries.
inflasi di negara-negara maju masih jauh di atas sasaran Nonetheless, inflation in advanced economies remained
yang ingin dicapai, yaitu 2%, sedangkan di kebanyakan significantly above its 2% target, while in most EMDEs, it
negara EMDEs telah di bawah sasaran. Nilai tukar dolar AS had already fallen below the target. The strength of the
pada tahun 2023 tetap kuat. Fenomena sangat kuatnya US dollar exchange rate persisted throughout 2023. This
dolar AS ini memberi tekanan pelemahan (depresiasi) phenomenon of a robust US dollar exerted downward
mata uang di berbagai negara. pressure (depreciation) on currencies in numerous
countries.

Sedangkan dinamika perekonomian nasional terhitung Meanwhile, the dynamics of the national economy were
lebih terjaga, walaupun dinamika perekonomian global relatively more manageable, despite the weakening global
yang melemah. Meskipun isu pada awal tahun 2023 economic trends. Although there were concerns about
terjadi resesi, namun hal tersebut perlahan menjadi recession at the beginning of 2023, optimism gradually
optimis untuk tumbuh lebih baik sejak triwulan III 2023. emerged, particularly since the 3 quarter of 2023. As the
rd
Memasuki triwulan IV 2023, berbagai indikator terkini 4 quarter of 2023 began, several recent indicators such
th
seperti penjualan eceran, indeks keyakinan konsumen, as retail sales, consumer confidence index, cement sales,
penjualan semen, dan Purchasing Manager’s Index and the Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) indicated
(PMI) yang berada pada zona ekspansi mengonfirmasi expansion, confirming the sustained economic growth in
berlanjutnya pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Sehingga Indonesia. By the end of 2023, Indonesia had managed to
pada akhir tahun 2023, Indonesia berhasil mencatatkan achieve economic growth of 5.05%, albeit lower than the
pertumbuhan ekonomi sebesar 5,05%, walaupun growth recorded in 2022, which stood at 5.31%.
memang lebih rendah dibanding capaian tahun 2022
yang mengalami pertumbuhan sebesar 5,31%.

PT BRI Danareksa Sekuritas 113 Integrated Annual Report 2023